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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30530204060803948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.7
13.813.1
Auto10.3
Teleop8.1
End2.6
blue by 10.9
27
#1
31.90.3
19.619.9
Auto9.6
Teleop20.2
End2.1
Second
5697
#37
5.40.7
8.78.1
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 20.4
4779
#10
25.90.3
15.415.7
Auto10.3
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Third
7818
#36
4.80.7
7.46.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 9.0
6067
#16
13.80.3
10.510.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed