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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393610203050605225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
28.02.0
19.021.0
Auto11.4
Teleop15.8
End0.8
red by 6.2
1
#8
21.81.0
11.610.6
Auto8.0
Teleop12.3
End1.5
Second
2145
#19
18.72.0
8.710.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
red by 0.1
3668
#12
18.61.0
15.514.5
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
9648
#26
11.92.0
6.28.2
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
blue by 1.8
9673
#28
13.71.0
7.16.1
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed