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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353110152025404550429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#2
21.30.7
12.813.5
Auto6.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
red by 7.4
13.92.1
9.97.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End0.3
Second
9242
#22
13.50.7
9.09.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
red by 3.7
5213
#23
9.72.1
9.17.0
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Third
1504
#33
12.90.7
9.310.0
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.2
red by 6.9
9697
#40
6.02.9
4.17.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed