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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44330206080100120439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
31.90.5
19.119.6
Auto9.6
Teleop20.2
End2.1
red by 18.4
5282
#31
13.52.7
9.16.4
Auto1.3
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Second
9662
#21
10.80.5
10.010.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
red by 2.2
6610
#20
8.62.7
9.97.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
9650
#30
8.34.2
5.59.7
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
red by 0.9
4994
#38
7.52.7
12.49.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed