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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433101020506070803813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#35
18.50.2
15.014.8
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End1.2
blue by 0.2
2145
#19
18.72.0
10.78.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Second
16.60.2
13.513.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 2.9
9673
#28
13.78.6
15.77.1
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Third
9757
#25
8.14.3
4.69.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.6
red by 2.2
8767
#24
5.92.0
9.67.5
Auto0.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed