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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324701020406070802246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#12
18.61.0
14.513.5
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.5
blue by 7.3
4779
#10
25.91.1
15.714.6
Auto10.3
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Second
4994
#38
7.51.0
9.18.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 13.5
21.01.1
13.112.1
Auto10.3
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Third
9697
#40
6.01.0
7.06.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 7.3
3618
#32
13.31.1
11.810.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed