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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382601020305060703933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#18
22.00.6
17.818.4
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 8.2
6067
#16
13.80.9
10.711.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Second
7784
#13
12.10.6
8.08.6
Auto1.6
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 1.4
5282
#31
13.50.9
6.47.2
Auto1.3
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Third
6610
#20
8.60.6
7.58.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.3
red by 3.1
5697
#37
5.40.9
8.18.9
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed