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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46402530355055605663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#6
23.41.5
18.519.9
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 8.5
27
#1
31.92.9
22.024.9
Auto9.6
Teleop20.2
End2.1
Second
3668
#12
18.61.5
13.515.0
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.5
red by 4.7
13.92.9
8.010.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End0.3
Third
9662
#21
10.81.5
8.710.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
red by 2.7
9757
#25
8.12.9
7.09.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed