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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34300102040506070802635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6067
#16
13.80.5
11.611.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End1.0
blue by 8.0
1
#8
21.80.8
12.713.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.3
End1.5
Second
3618
#32
13.30.5
10.710.2
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
blue by 0.2
5282
#31
13.50.8
7.28.0
Auto1.3
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Third
4994
#38
7.50.5
8.27.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 0.9
9650
#30
8.30.8
7.98.7
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed