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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41402025303545503318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#11
21.50.6
17.717.1
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
blue by 0.4
245
#18
22.02.0
18.416.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Second
1504
#33
12.90.6
9.99.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.2
red by 1.0
9648
#26
11.92.0
8.56.5
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Third
6631
#17
6.70.6
9.08.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
red by 1.3
5697
#37
5.42.0
8.96.9
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed