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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55340204060805553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#14
22.10.9
21.122.0
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 3.8
4779
#10
25.92.2
14.616.8
Auto10.3
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Second
894
#2
21.30.9
13.414.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
red by 2.6
2145
#19
18.72.2
11.413.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Third
16.60.9
12.713.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 6.8
5213
#23
9.72.2
7.39.5
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed