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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473201020406070804817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
28.00.2
20.921.2
Auto11.4
Teleop15.8
End0.8
red by 6.0
245
#18
22.01.5
16.514.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Second
9242
#22
13.50.2
11.712.0
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
red by 0.7
7491
#34
12.71.5
7.66.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
6610
#20
8.60.2
8.18.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.3
red by 2.7
8767
#24
5.91.5
6.75.2
Auto0.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed