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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3346102040506070803861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#35
18.50.5
15.115.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End1.2
blue by 13.5
27
#1
31.92.3
24.927.2
Auto9.6
Teleop20.2
End2.1
Second
9673
#28
13.70.5
7.48.0
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End1.8
red by 3.9
5213
#23
9.72.3
9.511.8
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Third
9650
#30
8.30.5
8.79.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
red by 3.5
7818
#36
4.82.3
5.78.0
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed