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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286302040801003169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5213
#23
9.71.0
11.810.9
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 22.2
27
#1
31.91.2
26.027.3
Auto9.6
Teleop20.2
End2.1
Second
9757
#25
8.11.0
9.98.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 13.9
245
#18
22.01.2
14.916.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Third
6631
#17
6.71.0
7.97.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 6.7
9242
#22
13.51.2
11.913.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed