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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334501020405060706725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.93.0
12.815.7
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End1.9
blue by 3.1
5460
#14
22.11.6
22.020.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Second
9673
#28
13.73.0
8.010.9
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End1.8
red by 2.9
9662
#21
10.81.6
10.48.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Third
5282
#31
13.53.0
10.613.5
Auto1.3
Teleop11.3
End0.8
red by 8.1
5697
#37
5.41.6
6.85.2
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed