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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266102040801004092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3618
#32
13.31.3
10.712.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
blue by 12.6
4779
#10
25.94.0
19.423.3
Auto10.3
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Second
1504
#33
12.91.3
9.510.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.2
blue by 8.7
1506
#11
21.54.0
16.220.2
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Third
5538
#27
8.01.3
7.79.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.1
blue by 10.4
5660
#35
18.54.0
15.619.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed