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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325802040801004349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
#8
21.81.2
12.613.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.3
End1.5
blue by 10.1
27
#1
31.91.2
27.226.0
Auto9.6
Teleop20.2
End2.1
Second
6067
#16
13.81.2
10.611.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End1.0
blue by 2.8
16.61.2
15.013.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Third
9648
#26
11.91.2
8.810.0
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
red by 6.0
8767
#24
5.91.2
7.46.2
Auto0.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned