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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373402060801001205125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.3
14.314.1
Auto10.3
Teleop8.1
End2.6
red by 2.4
2145
#19
18.70.7
14.914.2
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Second
13.90.3
11.110.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End0.3
red by 5.9
9757
#25
8.10.7
10.69.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Third
6610
#20
8.60.2
7.97.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.3
red by 2.6
9697
#40
6.00.7
5.95.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed