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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43443035405055603043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#18
22.00.9
16.815.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End2.6
blue by 6.0
33
#3
28.00.3
22.622.9
Auto11.4
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Second
5213
#23
9.70.9
11.310.4
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 3.0
7491
#34
12.70.3
9.810.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
7202
#39
7.80.9
10.99.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
red by 0.3
4994
#38
7.50.3
7.78.0
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed