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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28540204060802845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9242
#22
13.50.1
12.011.9
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
blue by 7.8
894
#2
21.30.3
16.816.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Second
7784
#13
12.10.1
7.77.6
Auto1.6
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 8.0
7166
#15
20.10.3
14.213.8
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Third
9650
#30
8.30.1
9.29.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 10.3
3668
#12
18.60.3
15.114.8
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed