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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414302060803843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#14
22.10.1
22.022.0
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 1.3
70
#6
23.40.5
20.120.7
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
5260
#29
9.50.1
7.57.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
blue by 3.8
3618
#32
13.30.5
10.210.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Third
6631
#17
6.70.1
7.87.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
red by 1.9
7818
#36
4.80.5
8.08.5
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed