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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26310102040505431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.02.2
12.114.3
Auto10.3
Teleop8.1
End2.6
red by 8.1
1504
#33
12.90.2
9.39.5
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.2
Second
9648
#26
11.92.2
6.58.8
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
red by 1.1
9662
#21
10.80.2
10.210.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Third
8767
#24
5.92.2
5.27.4
Auto0.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
blue by 1.6
4994
#38
7.50.2
7.77.9
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed