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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4249203060705152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.91.4
11.412.8
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End1.9
blue by 9.1
33
#3
28.00.1
21.221.3
Auto11.4
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Second
2145
#19
18.71.4
13.614.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
red by 0.1
3668
#12
18.60.1
15.015.1
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
16.61.4
13.615.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 8.5
5538
#27
8.00.1
7.67.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed