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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44290102040506070804023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#6
23.40.2
19.920.1
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 9.6
6067
#16
13.80.5
11.110.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Second
13.90.2
10.911.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End0.3
red by 5.4
6610
#20
8.60.5
8.47.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
5260
#29
9.50.2
7.37.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
red by 2.7
6631
#17
6.70.5
8.47.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed