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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4550203040607080906241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#15
20.12.3
13.816.1
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End2.2
blue by 7.9
33
#3
28.00.4
21.320.9
Auto11.4
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Second
18.92.3
15.718.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End1.9
red by 5.3
9673
#28
13.70.4
10.910.6
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Third
6067
#16
13.82.3
11.814.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End1.0
red by 0.5
3618
#32
13.30.4
12.111.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed