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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563302040801004855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#14
22.10.0
20.520.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 3.4
3668
#12
18.62.0
14.816.7
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Second
5660
#35
18.50.0
19.619.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End1.2
red by 4.5
13.92.0
10.812.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End0.3
Third
7784
#13
12.10.0
7.67.7
Auto1.6
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 0.7
7491
#34
12.72.0
6.88.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed