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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3935202530455055604145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#18
22.00.7
16.216.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 5.4
16.60.3
15.415.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Second
5282
#31
13.50.7
13.514.2
Auto1.3
Teleop11.3
End0.8
red by 4.0
5260
#29
9.50.3
7.67.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Third
9697
#40
6.00.7
5.25.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 2.0
5538
#27
8.00.3
9.09.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned