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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204201030506070802536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5213
#23
9.70.5
10.911.3
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 8.9
3668
#12
18.60.1
16.716.8
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Second
8767
#24
5.90.4
5.55.9
Auto0.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
blue by 7.4
3618
#32
13.30.1
11.711.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Third
5697
#37
5.40.4
4.44.8
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 1.3
6631
#17
6.70.1
7.07.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed