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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5145204060801004166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#10
25.90.5
22.522.1
Auto10.3
Teleop13.9
End1.7
blue by 2.1
33
#3
28.01.6
20.922.6
Auto11.4
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Second
9242
#22
13.50.5
13.112.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
blue by 0.5
13.91.5
12.814.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End0.3
Third
9662
#21
10.80.5
9.89.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
blue by 1.3
7784
#13
12.11.6
7.79.3
Auto1.6
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned