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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33540204060803642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5282
#31
13.50.7
14.213.6
Auto1.3
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 9.9
70
#6
23.40.5
21.020.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
9648
#26
11.90.7
9.38.7
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
blue by 6.6
5660
#35
18.50.5
19.619.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End1.2
Third
9757
#25
8.10.7
8.98.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.6
red by 2.1
9697
#40
6.00.5
5.95.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed