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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5134102030406070806633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
31.91.3
27.328.5
Auto9.6
Teleop20.2
End2.1
red by 18.1
6067
#16
13.80.0
14.114.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Second
7202
#39
7.81.4
9.510.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 5.9
9673
#28
13.70.0
10.610.6
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Third
4994
#38
7.51.4
7.18.4
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 2.0
5260
#29
9.50.0
7.98.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed