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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444002060801001201405546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#15
20.11.7
16.117.8
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End2.2
blue by 1.4
1506
#11
21.51.0
21.222.2
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Second
2145
#19
18.71.7
15.216.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
red by 5.9
7491
#34
12.71.0
8.89.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
7818
#36
4.81.8
7.89.5
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 3.8
6610
#20
8.60.9
6.97.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed