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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63352040801007239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#14
22.11.4
20.521.8
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 1.0
21.00.2
14.414.6
Auto10.3
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Second
1
#8
21.81.4
15.416.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.3
End1.5
red by 8.9
1504
#33
12.90.2
12.412.6
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.2
Third
18.91.4
18.019.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End1.9
red by 10.6
9650
#30
8.30.2
8.38.5
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed