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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464625303540505560655646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#11
21.50.5
22.222.6
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
red by 5.0
16.60.6
15.715.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Second
9673
#28
13.70.5
10.611.1
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End1.8
red by 0.2
5282
#31
13.50.6
13.613.0
Auto1.3
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Third
9648
#26
11.90.4
8.79.1
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
blue by 1.6
9242
#22
13.50.6
12.612.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned