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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416420801003770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#10
25.90.3
22.121.8
Auto10.3
Teleop13.9
End1.7
blue by 6.0
27
#1
31.90.0
28.528.5
Auto9.6
Teleop20.2
End2.1
Second
1504
#33
12.90.3
12.612.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.2
blue by 6.0
18.90.0
19.419.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Third
9697
#40
6.00.3
5.45.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 0.7
6631
#17
6.70.0
7.07.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed