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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635030407080907042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
28.01.5
22.924.4
Auto11.4
Teleop15.8
End0.8
red by 4.6
70
#6
23.40.5
20.520.1
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
245
#18
22.01.4
15.917.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 1.9
7166
#15
20.10.5
17.817.3
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Third
21.01.4
16.317.7
Auto10.3
Teleop8.1
End2.6
red by 12.7
9650
#30
8.30.5
8.58.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed