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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48290204060804138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.91.3
19.418.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End1.9
red by 5.4
5282
#31
13.50.1
13.013.0
Auto1.3
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Second
13.91.3
15.113.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End0.3
red by 6.1
7202
#39
7.80.1
8.48.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Third
7818
#36
4.81.3
6.45.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 1.9
6631
#17
6.70.1
7.07.1
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed