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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43331020305060705238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.2
15.214.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 3.1
9242
#22
13.50.6
12.112.7
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
Second
6067
#16
13.80.2
12.212.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End1.0
red by 0.5
3618
#32
13.30.6
12.312.9
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Third
7491
#34
12.70.2
10.19.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
red by 6.7
9697
#40
6.00.7
6.77.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed