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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65310204060801008041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
31.91.8
28.530.4
Auto9.6
Teleop20.2
End2.1
red by 11.8
7166
#15
20.10.8
17.318.1
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Second
3668
#12
18.62.0
16.818.8
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.5
red by 6.5
7784
#13
12.10.9
9.09.9
Auto1.6
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
9648
#26
11.91.8
9.110.9
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
red by 3.9
5538
#27
8.00.8
5.76.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed