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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58462030405070804661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#6
23.40.9
20.119.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 2.5
4779
#10
25.91.6
21.823.4
Auto10.3
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Second
1506
#11
21.51.0
22.621.7
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
blue by 0.2
1
#8
21.81.7
16.818.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.3
End1.5
Third
5213
#23
9.70.9
8.57.6
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.4
red by 3.9
8767
#24
5.91.6
4.56.1
Auto0.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned