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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55350204060805464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#18
22.00.4
17.317.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 0.7
894
#2
21.32.6
16.719.3
Auto6.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Second
2145
#19
18.70.4
17.417.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
red by 5.0
9673
#28
13.72.2
9.611.8
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Third
1504
#33
12.90.4
12.312.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.2
red by 2.1
9662
#21
10.82.2
7.810.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed