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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414302060801004231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
28.00.1
24.424.5
Auto11.4
Teleop15.8
End0.8
red by 5.9
5460
#14
22.10.7
22.421.7
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Second
9757
#25
8.10.1
6.97.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 0.3
9650
#30
8.30.7
8.17.4
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Third
5697
#37
5.40.1
5.65.7
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 2.0
4994
#38
7.50.7
8.07.3
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed