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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4536010203040506070803448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#35
18.50.5
18.518.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End1.2
blue by 2.6
21.00.9
17.718.6
Auto10.3
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Second
3618
#32
13.30.4
12.912.5
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 3.5
5213
#23
9.70.8
7.68.4
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Third
6610
#20
8.60.5
7.97.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.3
blue by 0.9
5260
#29
9.50.9
8.08.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed