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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48632030407080906984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#10
25.91.4
23.424.7
Auto10.3
Teleop13.9
End1.7
red by 2.5
70
#6
23.42.3
19.221.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
9673
#28
13.71.4
11.813.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End1.8
blue by 8.3
245
#18
22.02.3
17.820.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Third
7491
#34
12.71.5
9.911.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 9.1
1
#8
21.82.5
18.521.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed