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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47602040801004663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.2
18.118.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End1.9
blue by 2.6
1506
#11
21.50.9
21.722.6
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Second
3668
#12
18.60.2
18.819.0
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.5
blue by 2.7
894
#2
21.31.0
19.320.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Third
9757
#25
8.10.2
7.07.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 5.7
6067
#16
13.80.8
12.012.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed