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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494710203040607080906233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
31.90.6
30.431.0
Auto9.6
Teleop20.2
End2.1
red by 9.9
5460
#14
22.10.8
21.720.9
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Second
6610
#20
8.60.7
7.48.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.3
blue by 4.3
1504
#33
12.90.8
12.812.0
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.2
Third
5538
#27
8.00.6
6.57.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.1
red by 0.2
7202
#39
7.80.8
8.47.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed