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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19470406080735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6631
#17
6.71.4
7.15.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 11.9
2145
#19
18.70.3
17.817.5
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Second
9697
#40
6.01.4
7.46.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 7.9
13.90.3
13.813.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End0.3
Third
8767
#24
5.91.3
6.14.9
Auto0.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
blue by 2.5
9650
#30
8.30.3
7.47.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed