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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4526010203040506070804830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.8
18.619.3
Auto10.3
Teleop8.1
End2.6
red by 9.0
7784
#13
12.10.4
9.910.3
Auto1.6
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Second
9242
#22
13.50.8
12.713.5
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
red by 1.6
9648
#26
11.90.3
10.911.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Third
4994
#38
7.50.8
7.38.1
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.1
red by 2.7
7818
#36
4.80.3
5.15.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed