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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63512040801006071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
31.90.2
31.031.2
Auto9.6
Teleop20.2
End2.1
red by 3.9
33
#3
28.01.2
24.525.7
Auto11.4
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Second
5282
#31
13.50.2
13.013.2
Auto1.3
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 5.4
18.91.0
18.219.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Third
7491
#34
12.70.2
11.411.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
red by 6.9
8767
#24
5.91.0
4.95.9
Auto0.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed