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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433001020506070805035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#10
25.90.9
24.725.7
Auto10.3
Teleop13.9
End1.7
red by 12.2
9673
#28
13.70.5
13.213.7
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Second
5538
#27
8.00.9
7.18.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.1
blue by 0.5
6610
#20
8.60.5
8.18.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
6631
#17
6.71.0
5.76.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 1.1
7202
#39
7.80.5
7.68.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed